What I don't think people are taking into account is how wide spread AIs use will be. We are only seeing a very small use now. AI will eventully be coustomize for each country of the world, many of the machines we use and many new ways we can't think of right now. For that to happen we will need lots of data centers and power plants. The next 40 plus years will be bunkers in terms of the amout of productivity needed to roll out all the functions we want. It will be bigger than any recent roll out of new technology, definitely bigger than the web in size and function. No, we are not in a bubble, we are just getting started.
It's easy to say that he lost a large fortune but the guy is right. You can only make the best decision on the information you have at the time. You don't know the future. Apple is one success in many, many probably millions of failures. He got a good deal at the time. Of course, looking back it was a terrible deal but you can't predict the future with certainty. That is not how life works.
This is absolutely true. I too guaranty that the market will have a wild fall in the future. The problem is that we don't know when it will happen. The best we can do is pick the best investments we can, invest for the long term and hope for the best.
This doesn’t really surprise me. Most company leaders don’t have a detailed view of day to day work, they couldn’t step in and do every employee’s job. What they are good at is creating a clear story and direction that brings people together around a shared goal. That’s what Sam has done, especially in how he’s sold that vision to investors and raised billions. You could say the same about leaders like Elon Musk or Steve Jobs. It’s not necessarily a perfect system, but it’s often how companies grow and attract funding. No, they are not the perfect humans. It's just how business works.
I’ve been thinking that we’ll end up with specialized language models for different tasks, all connected by a router that picks the best one for each job. Put together, that could feel like a “super LLM”, not true AGI, but close enough that it might seem like it to most people. Because of that, I don’t think Mythos is a bluff.
I don’t think LLMs will ever be truly sentient, but they’ll likely appear that way. It won’t be real AGI, just something more powerful than any single human. Think of it as the oracle at Delphi. I'm not shocked that there's a better model coming. I'm sure there will be more powerful models to come after it too.
The junior engineer role isn’t going away. It’s just evolving. It’ll likely shift toward things like code analysis, reviewing work, and managing projects with AI tools. It’s similar to when we moved from hand-coded HTML to visual UI builders: the html code might not look perfect(it's actually crappy) , but it gets the job done. Over time, we’ll get better code management tools that will make code easier for everyone to understand. It sucks for the glut of coders that will need to adapt. But that's not new. How many web sites are written in perl, now? Did perl developers disappear? Some, but most moved on to other languages. That’s just how things progress.
Soon we'll have more programming projects popping up. It will now be financially profitable to create smaller projects that were losers before which will create new jobs. Or much more bigger project that could never be built before. So, AI won't take all coding jobs, they will evolve.
I turned a hobby into a career. I wouldn't recommend it. You lose the love for the hobby and the career doesn't match the hobby since you're mostly doing what other people need to do, not what you want.
I’ll just throw in a counter example. I turn 50 in two weeks. I programmed for the love of it and eventually turned it into my career. Maybe it hampered my love, a little, maybe. But the job and the passion are still different. I still write software on nights and weekends. But, maybe I’m a weirdo.
Hopefully this career will still be here until I retire. If not, I’ll try to adapt, maybe to something more hands on.
This is very insightful and also aligns/overlaps with the rather unpopular don't follow your passion mindset. one can still find some work that's reasonably enjoyable even when it's not your hobby or passion; just that such work takes a while to find and might not last forever so you'll be back to square one.
True, focusing on salary will only guide you towards a job you will hate. If I had the opportunity to do it all again, I would work towards a caereer where I had more interaction with people rather than a computer screen. It's something you might want to think about.
