It is over for the little guy - home enthusiasts and vibe coders. Too many of them saturating resources for Max users.
IF you cannot afford few hundred dollars subscription go out and breathe fresh air. But if you can, watch where the ball is rolling - few thousand dollars subscriptions and even less programmers.
Agree about psychological impact outpacing likely actual impact, but that’s a relatively temporary phenomena as we are all adapting to the new way things work.
Productivity wise employment is far more than code production productivity in a vacuum, and productivity gains are rarely captured by employees (see famous chart on worker productivity where that correlation changed around 1970). I wouldn’t expect to see much in the next 1-2 years besides noticing effective teams increasing velocity of features.
I think people in forums like complaining about things and aren’t representative of the broader set of people who are just using the tools, so no real paradox. For vast majority of tech jobs, $200/mo is still an absolute steal in terms of what these tools offer. Only the dullest of companies would not realize this.
Fwiw in the 80s-90s computers also didn’t really register in productivity metrics. Qualitative changes occur long before accurate measurement catches up.
Because most people work for someone else and don't decide their own salaries. It's not doubling productivity, but even a 10-20% boost to productivity for a team of engineers means that, as a business, even $1k per month per seat is perfectly acceptable. For consumers and hobbyists that basically kills access.
> Best forget about using Claude Opus models in Copilot.
I noticed this morning that Opus isn't even one of the models in the `/model` command in Copilot. Highest I can get (on the paid, but least expensive) tier is Sonnet 4.6. I'm pretty sure Opus was allowed recently, but not now.
Truly makes no sense. I pay for the $200/month plan and end up using about $3k/month worth of API costs. I imagine that the only reason they haven’t cut me off is because my habits serve as good training data for them.
Guess they’ve decided to move in the direction of allocating compute primarily to power users and enterprise.
But power users are not a sticky customer base. I just bought the ChatGPT Pro plan and would immediately switch over if the model performance is better and/or I get more compute.
> Over the coming weeks, Opus 4.7 will replace Opus 4.5 and Opus 4.6 in the model picker for Copilot Pro+.
> This model is launching with a 7.5× premium request multiplier as part of promotional pricing until April 30th
TBF, it's a rumour that they are switching to per-token price in May, but it's from an insider (apparently), and seeing how good of a deal the current per-request pricing is, everyone expects them to bump prices sometime soon or switch to per-token pricing.
The per-request pricing is ridiculous (in a good way, for the user). You can get so much done on a single prompt if you build the right workflow. I'm sure they'll change it soon
Yeah it seems insane that it's priced this way to me too. Using sonnet/opus through a ~$40 a month copilot plan gives me at least an order of magnitude more usage than a ~$40 a month claude code plan (the usage limits on the latter are so low that it's effectively not a viable choice, at least for my use cases).
The models are limited to 160k token context length but in practice that's not a big deal.
Unless MS has a very favourable contract with Anthropic or they're running the models on their own hardware there's no way they're making money on this.
Yeah, you can even write your own harness that spawns subagents for free, and get essentially free opus calls too. Insane value, I'm not at all surprised they're making changes. Oh well. It was a pain in the ass to use Copilot since it had a slightly different protocol and oauth so it wasn't supported in a lot of tools, now I'm going to go with Ollama cloud probably, which is supported by pretty much everything.
Inference prices droped like 90 percent in that time (a combination of cheaper models, implicit caching, service levels, different providers and other optimizations).
Quality went up. Quantity of results went up. Speed went up.
Service level that we provide to our clients went up massively and justfied better deals. Headcount went down.
The decline of independent thoughts for one. As people become reliant on LLMs to do their thinking for them and solve all problems that they stumble upon, they become a shell of their previous self.
There is no decline. Human assets were always too expensive to process some additional information. We are simply processing lot more of low signal data.
Actually some of our analysts are empowered by the tools at their disposal. Their jobs are safe and necessary. Others were let go.
Clients are happy to get fuller picture of their universe, which drives more informed decissions . Everybody wins.
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