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So is this a 2400% reduction in the number of NSF board members?

That would leave one remaining member lol. I guess it would be infinity percentage reduction according to his math.

This is a reference to RJK Jr's pronouncement that Trump has a "different way of calculating percentages". Seems apt to me in this context.

Very much another "Emperor's New Clothes" situation.

If the pathology was entirely within his own privately-owned company that'd be one thing, but Americans are going to continue to get hurt because of it.


> At some point, because these models are trained on existing data, you cease significant technological advancement

What makes you think that they can't incrementally improve the state of the art... and by running at scale continuously can't do it faster than we as humans?

The potentially sad outcome is that we continue to do less and less, because they eventually will build better and better robots, so even activities like building the datacenters and fabs are things they can do w/o us.

And eventually most of what they do is to construct scenarios so that we can simulate living a normal life.


I agree the article is smarter than the title makes it seem. And honestly, much better than comments on HN. The articles keeps diving deeper and asking questions. The comments here take hold of a single theory, without even thinking about the counters that article mentions. This is probably the best example of read the article, and not the comments.

The HN comments are sadly mostly just people pushing their favorite thing, whether COVID denialism, "everything is going bad because people are atheists" or whatever, without engaging with the article at all.

> COVID denialism

> "everything is going bad because people are atheists"

I don't think I have ever seen anybody express either of these opinions on HN, and if they tried, they would immediately get downvoted to oblivion.


Here's one example of the second, in this very thread: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=47877926

[flagged]


Where do you see the word ‘Evil?’ I don’t see the word in the title or anywhere in the article itself.

Substack tends to select for this kind of author. Not daily posts about their life and their latest hot take, but a few deep articles every few weeks, that make you think "hey, that's interesting". Although there is not necessarily an easy way to know where the author is talking from, whether they're entirely relevant, etc...

Even the "superstars" (Krugman, etc..) are posting this is that could have been posted on twitter, with the same level of outrage and polarization, but at least the content is well structure, and they are allowed to use sentences in paragraph, with quotes, and figures, and links, etc...

Yes, I know, it's called blogging. I'm saying that the new hot thing, in 2026, is blogging.


Thank you kindly.

What does this mean?

This was a masterclass in science writing for laypeople. Going to find more from this author.

I don’t think these companies are hurting for access to code.


You can set your prompt to do that. You can have it be extremely skeptical. You can even make it contrarian, if you wanted to be extreme. My current prompt challenges me often, and wants to find weaknesses in my argument.


LLMs will need to develop a notion of trustworthiness. Interesting that part of the process of learning isn’t just learning, but also learning what to learn and how much value to put into data that crosses your path.


To me I think the problem is the blast radius

All of us are slightly wrong about things, but not all of us are treated as oracles of correct information like Opus, ChatGPT, etc are


you're confusing LLMs with humans


Not massively sure I am


The economics for the company aren't great for people that make high frequency use of it. And I suspect that people that would pay for such a service nowadays would make good use of it.

Regarding the 5d guarantee -- I suspect that most disks would show up in 2-3 days, but if you're going to guarantee you'll need some buffer (as I think US Mail says first class is 1-5 days). And I think Netflix was just counting on it mostly being shorter (and may have even had distribution centers at some point in its history).


Protected speech can be beyond politics. Politics doesn't subsume all protected speech.


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