> I can't imagine a lot of instances where you're calling an Uber and don't have time to get yourself food
Recently I got a car to take me to the train station and picked up food on the way. Seems pretty common to me. Of course, I didn't need or want it charged as a premium feature in the app.
That's probably true, but when you're talking about 100 subagents you're talking about something that costs $100/hour to run, and Mythos takes $20k to find a vulnerability, so the question isn't "can dumber models conceivably do this?" It's, if running inference with Mythos to find an exploit costs 5000 GPU-hours per exploit, how many GPU-hours does it cost with a dumber model?
It seems like Mythos is often (or typically?) costing $20k per vulnerability, so I don't think there will be enough compute capacity in the world any time soon to let a lot more people use it the way Glasswing is using it. That is not to say I think they are exaggerating its capabilities. That $20k is presumably the rough cost of renting the GPUs, and there are not enough GPUs in the world.
It's the same as the origin of "Codex/Opus subscription usage is heavily subsidized" - the sales departments equipped with AI agents with the prompt: "use anonymous accounts on the internet to make it easy for me to sell it at $price".
It is not getting easier to obtain hardware that can run models which are sufficiently useful to undercut frontier models, if anything the cost of such hardware has gone up by 25% or more just in the past 6 months.
I think hardware prices will come back down once we start seeing more efficiency improvements in models and hardware, and once more people and companies self-host models (which seems to be happening more and more these days). I think the massive infra/hardware expenditures of OpenAI and the like are going to end up unnecessary, leading to hardware price drops.
If companies decide to self-host, wouldn't that drive the demand and therefore prices up? Most companies currently do not have the needed infrastructure.
I think companies will self host (including on rented hardware) even if it's more expensive, and that, along with efficiency improvements, will drop demand for big AI. I think big AI is overspending on hardware/datacenters at the moment.
> can in principle do that batteries simply cannot, like time-shift production by 3 months.
A battery can definitely store power for three months. What do you mean? Say it loses 10-15% charge in 3 months, that still sounds more efficient than electrolysis (and storing hydrogen will have a nonzero amount of loss too, compounding its lower efficiency.)
Not just charge a small battery and discharge it 3 months later, but to store 3 months worth of production.
And using batteries, the cost of that is currently bonkers.
The lowest cost large-scale BESS projects that have been completed are in China, with the record-holder currently being ~$51k/MHh.
As a comparison, OL3, the most expensive nuclear plant in the world, and which is generally held up as an example of nuclear plants being too expensive to be worth it, cost a total of €11B. It produces net 1600MW electric. That is, if you have the lowest construction, labor and battery costs in the world for the battery project, if you want to store more than ~6.5 days of production, it makes more sense to instead build the world's most expensive nuclear power plant and idle it when you don't need the power.
> sounds more efficient than electrolysis
NOBODY CARES ABOUT EFFICIENCY. Nobody should care about efficiency. If you care about efficiency, you do not understand the problem. If you can get capital costs low enough, your competition for that power is curtailment. The cost of input electricity can be assumed to be zero.
BESS is useful and important for stabilizing the grid, and for leveling production/consumption over a day. Hydrogen solves a different problem, namely, how to run your entire grid on renewables without using coal or nuclear as baseload, and without natural gas as peakers, when your production varies greatly over time.
The point is that they distributed AGPL licensed software which legally speaking puts them on very thin ice if they say "actually you're not allowed to modify that software we gave you and explicitly told you you could modify to do whatever you want."
This is a direct quote from the Affero GPL:
> When you convey a covered work, you waive any legal power to forbid
circumvention of technological measures to the extent such circumvention
is effected by exercising rights under this License with respect to
the covered work, and you disclaim any intention to limit operation or
modification of the work as a means of enforcing, against the work's
users, your or third parties' legal rights to forbid circumvention of
technological measures.
The thing Bambu is doing is very much against the spirit of the AGPL, which is the license they chose for the Bambu printer software. And the AGPL has such broadly written language it's hard to believe what they are doing complies with the letter.
You're certainly allowed to modify the software, but that doesn't necessarily give you the right to connect it to hardware owned by other people. And AGPL does not provide for any right to services -- only a right to use and modify the covered work.
For example, AGPL doesn't prevent you from being banned from a Mastodon server.
The key part of the sentence you quoted is "... to the extent such circumvention is effected by exercising rights under this License with respect to the covered work" -- meaning, you can't use anti-circumvention to prevent people from using or modifying the copyrighted code.
In this very article the police department argued that taking a laptop and not entering it into evidence is protected by qualified immunity. People think that qualified immunity applies to every story in the news because the police argue that it does and the courts typically agree. I will be interested to see the outcome of this case - my expectation is that the court will rule that the police officer cannot be personally sued in this case, because of qualified immunity.
My point is simply that you suggested that qualified immunity doesn't apply to this case, and I agree that it should not in principle but my understanding of the case law is that it typically does.
People talk about qualified immunity like it means a police officer is above the law. That's not true at all. When qualified immunity is working correctly, all it does is shift the liability from the individual to a higher authority (the department/city/state/etc).
In this case, it doesn't apply because theft isn't part of an officer's regular duties. You can't sue an officer for taking your laptop and putting it in evidence. You can sue an officer for taking your laptop home.
> You can sue an officer for taking your laptop home.
Again, I agree with you that this should be true in principle, but I don't have faith that it will apply in this case, and this is contrary to the stated position of the police department.
And it only shifts civil liability. The officer is still (according to the law if not actual practice) criminally culpable for illegal acts they perform.
Normal people are prosecuted for theft when they steal things like that. Qualified immunity doesn't cover that. This officer probably won't be prosecuted, but it's nothing to do with qualified immunity.
What's a "proper model?" Gemini 3.1 Pro was released 3 months ago. Gemini Robotics 1.6 was released a month ago. And Google is vertically integrated, they aren't just selling tokens, they are selling Taxi rides with Waymo. AI is a lot more than LLMs and Google is doing a lot more than LLMs.
It's very common for companies to have a $1M/year contract that depends on $100k/year in AWS resources. (and maybe they have 3+ such contracts.) They could lose a contract if their account gets shut down for nonpayment, it's hard to say how much of an overage they would prefer to having their account suspended, but AWS is optimized for these kinds of customers where every dollar spent on hosting drives some multiple of revenue.
Recently I got a car to take me to the train station and picked up food on the way. Seems pretty common to me. Of course, I didn't need or want it charged as a premium feature in the app.
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