I don't know, and I weight the odds and wage a bet given the various sources of information I have and my knowledge of human nature.

Unlike most of my vaccine enthusiast friends, I don't blame people that want to avoid it, I get the sentiment.

I'm not thrilled at the idea of getting the shot despite being a strong vaccine proponent, but I have made the appointment. Maybe it will turn out to be the wrong decision, however I took it with the best of my knowledge and abilities. And that's all what we can do.

>I took it with the best of my knowledge and abilities.

You would be really surprised at how much of one's knowledge sits on assumptions and believes that are not well founded. It is like how grownups are sometimes stumped by the questions of a curious kid, which make it clear that somethings they thought they knew, wasn't so.

This was my experience, and like most people, I used to trust authorities and scientists, and "studies". This is the position where we all start, and diverge from it as we become more aware about the politics involved and how the incentives are aligned, how powerful media, how research is funded and can be flawed, how peer review "appear to work" when in-fact it does not in practice etc, all of which are further confirmed by historical observations.

> You would be really surprised at how much of one's knowledge sits on assumptions and believes that are not well founded

I would not, I am perfectly aware of it, just like I'm aware I'm not able to go through walls.

And now what ? Knowing it doesn't change the fact I have to go through the door anyway.

The best we can do is all we can do, there is nothing else, your point is kinda moot.

when you live through enough you know that nothing in life is 100% other than death and taxes. it's all probabilities. If you want to think the government is injecting nanites then go ahead. Fed government has a decent history the past 40 years or so. I trust them more than I do most people other than my close friends and family. I've seen people die from covid, it's not a hoax and I don't believe the vaccine is either.

Most people hesitating to vaccinate don't believe it's a hoax, but rather believe that if something goes wrong by accident, which in an accelerated procedure on a complex system in the middle of a crisis is not unheard of, the people in charge won't disclose what we need to know, take responsabilities or the make the right decisions.

Despite going to get vaccinated, I don't think it's an unfair line of reasoning.